Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.249657 1.407887 1.580676 1.783734 2.016283 2.274814 2.584728
2026-01-25 0.998078 1.204714 1.448300 1.758035 2.143391 2.609608 3.220241
2026-02-01 0.807780 1.029390 1.306955 1.683021 2.183656 2.833352 3.750340
2026-02-08 0.681413 0.908250 1.207074 1.634198 2.236610 3.067262 4.319124
2026-02-15 0.590860 0.818307 1.131188 1.599624 2.294568 3.305663 4.921810
2026-02-22 0.544630 0.781330 1.120225 1.650035 2.474363 3.736555 5.871666
2026-03-01 0.497950 0.736764 1.090937 1.666303 2.600513 4.098558 6.767373
2026-03-08 0.446710 0.678836 1.033772 1.630072 2.635361 4.314932 7.449652
2026-03-15 0.402525 0.626644 0.978975 1.589347 2.654574 4.503330 8.107388
2026-03-22 0.386558 0.617219 0.990569 1.658715 2.868574 5.055985 9.526440
2026-03-29 0.368479 0.602185 0.990768 1.707443 3.050627 5.574306 10.968563
2026-04-05 0.350222 0.584845 0.984849 1.743730 3.212993 6.076378 12.465843
2026-04-12 0.329196 0.561928 0.968970 1.763904 3.355441 6.577262 14.098389
2026-04-19 0.303321 0.528125 0.930500 1.737340 3.403138 6.895704 15.398904
2026-04-26 0.273860 0.485126 0.870982 1.662821 3.342585 6.975855 16.160774
2026-05-03 0.250957 0.452184 0.827115 1.614448 3.330505 7.160288 17.218009
2026-05-10 0.232153 0.425281 0.792195 1.580253 3.344309 7.405160 18.483111
2026-05-17 0.224510 0.419080 0.797014 1.629946 3.552528 8.140028 21.222904
2026-05-24 0.213906 0.406081 0.786888 1.645976 3.685089 8.713331 23.654049
2026-05-31 0.199152 0.383518 0.755097 1.610230 3.689147 8.963049 25.203015
2026-06-07 0.185313 0.361701 0.722926 1.570053 3.676927 9.168644 26.670292
2026-06-14 0.182151 0.361679 0.736922 1.638480 3.947564 10.181912 30.963570
2026-06-21 0.177353 0.357781 0.742109 1.686545 4.172888 11.112171 35.253594